Troyes were sitting on 5 consecutive Ligue1 defeats so the international break couldn’t have arrived at a better moment.
In previous analysis we’ve mentioned how they try to compensate lack of skills through hard efforts, and although there are clear improvements in their play, until now this strategy hasn’t really paid off.
The last home game was against second placed Lyon, and only after a red card and a penalty Lyon barely won 1-0. The point is Troyes are definitely aware of their delicate situation and are one of the most determined sides in the competition.
In comparison to last round they welcome back a couple of important players who missed through suspension: defenders Pereira and Mavinga, midfielder Ayasse and forward Jean.
Besides not being able to win against one of the softest sides in the league (1-1 vs Bastia last round), Lille also lost best player Boufal who will be suspended for this game.
Lately Lille have been trying to diversify the way they build up play and reduce the reliance on Boufal who is a one man show. They focused on building down the wings, they made central midfielders participate in the attacking phase, but the truth is Boufal remains the most important man in the squad and without him the offensive potential is significantly diminished.
Not being able to keep the ball upfront also has effects on the defensive phase as the pressure piles up.
It will be very difficult for Lille to open up a compact and determined side like Troyes. Bookmakers give Lille too much credit who are yet to make a truly convincing away game (no win in away games so far). Troyes +0.25 at 2.02
UPDATE: Besides the four players who were suspended last round Troyes also welcome back defender Saunier. Lille will have to do without attacking midfielder Obbadi.
Troyes: Troyes : Bernardoni, Dreyer – M.Dabo, J.Martins Pereira, Mavinga, Saunier, Veskovac – T.Ayasse, Camus, Court, Darbion, L.Karaboué, Nivet, Pi, Thiago, Cabot – Jean, Perea.
Lille: Enyeama, S.Elana – S.Corchia, D.Sidibé, Civelli, M.Basa, B.Pavard, A.Soumaoro – Mavuba, Balmont, I.Amadou, Mbemba, M.Martin, Bauthéac, Araujo – S.Guirassy, Benzia, B.Guillaume, L.Nangis