Last round PSG suffered their second Ligue1 defeat this season. They played for about half an hour in numerical inferiority and lost the game because of a goal conceded late in extra time (Lyon won 2-1).
Forward Neymar missed that game, and it’s clear he plays an important role. Although they still have players like Cavani, Di Maria and Mbappe, without Neymar the rhythm slows down and PSG have problems against solid and organized opponents. That may be a real problem in Champions League, where opponents are extremely valuable and can easily neutralize a single player.
PSG bounced back in the midweek Coupe de France game against Guingamp, and won 4-2 after using a mixed squad. They seemed very vulnerable in defense, but most probably they didn’t care too much if they concede or not.
Montpellier were a bit lucky to win all points last round against Toulouse. They played in numerical superiority for an entire half and scored the winner in the dying seconds (won 2-1).
Montpellier hesitate a bit when they are favorites and need to control games. They are much more comfortable when being underdogs and focus on the defensive phase and counter attacking tactics.
They used a mixed squad in Coupe de France against Lorient and struggled a bit to qualify to the next stage (won 4-3). That’s what usually happens when Montpellier are favorites and focus on the attacking phase.
PSG will be without defender Alves, midfielder Motta and forward Mbappe.
I think PSG’s incredible 8-0 victory from two rounds ago against Dijon was an isolated incident, as PSG seem to be losing form. Montpellier are doing great at the moment, they very organized and extremely confident. Montpellier + 2.25 at 2.04
PSG: Trapp, Areola – Marquinhos, Thiago Silva, Kimpembe, Nsoki, Meunier, Berchiche, Kurzawa – Rabiot, Draxler, Verratti, Lo Celso, Pastore, Nkunku- Neymar, Di Maria, Cavani
Montpellier: Pionnier, Lecomte – Aguilar, Congré, Hilton, Mendes, Mukiele, Roussillon, Poaty, Cozza – Sambia, Lasne, Skhiri, Dolly, Caumet – Sio, Porsan-Clémenté, Mbenza, Camara, Ninga.