A game between two of the most in-form Ligue1 teams.
The solid defense is undoubtedly the strongest part of both teams. Even if the stats say otherwise (Nantes conceded 8 goals while Lille only 4), at the moment Nantes’ defense is more stable and confident in interventions. The reason for that is the lack of speed of Lille’s offensive players and constant involvement of the defensive players in the offensive phase .
They just can’t take opponents by surprise and rely on both fullbacks and all 3 midfielders to participate in the offensive phase.
This makes it easier for them to be caught on the wrong foot and concede, even if in the last 5 rounds they’ve managed to keep a clean sheet. Well, luck was also on their side, for example last round when Montpellier missed a penalty.
Lille’s formation is a 4-3-3 rather than a 4-2-3-1. A 4-3-3 makes it harder to cope with teams that put emphasis on the wings, like Nantes does for example.
Nantes relies a lot on wingers Nicolita and Gakpe. Both of them have good acceleration, speed and ball control, allowing Nantes to initiate most of their actions on the flanks. Almost always we have the same end result: crosses or through balls for experienced striker Djordjevic.
Nantes reached 4th place in Ligue1 mainly due to high levels of organization. Every time they play it looks like they have 12 or 13 players on the field, as whenever 1 player is taken out of play, there is always someone else to cover and prevent numerical inferiority.
Lille have a hard time creating chances, especially against defensively organized teams, so I really don’t see Lille scoring in this game. On the other if Lille do their homework they could easily prevent Nantes from being dangerous, only by neutralizing their wingers.
To my knowledge defender Basa and midfielder Martin haven’t trained so far this week (it’s Wednesday now) so most probably Lille will use the same team as against Montpellier. Nantes also with no changes in the squad.
This has the potential of being one of the most boring games this round. Few chances and no goals to be expected. The odds for under 2.5 goals are kind of low at 1.60, but still, it’s a rock solid bet. Under 2.00 goals at 2.16 also looks very good.
Personally I’ve also took 0-0 correct score at 6.80, as last season it was one of the most frequent scores in Ligue1 games played on Friday night (along with 2-0).