Monaco were lucky to win last round away at Nantes (1-0). The game was very balanced and real chances were only a few for both sides.
3 players will return from suspension for Monaco, fullback Fabinho, defensive midfielder Kondogbia and winger Ocampos, but only Ocampos could start.
The chances created by Monaco (especially recently) rely more on luck than skills. In these conditions fullbacks and defensive midfielders are forced to get more involved in the game and leave open spaces that can be exploited by opponents.
But wait to see Monaco without striker Falcao and winger Carrasco, as both of them will miss this round. Personally I am not a fan of the mentioned players but they play a huge role in Monaco’s tactics. Without them Monaco is just an average team.
Rennes’ game last round was also very balanced and as a consequence it finished in a satisfying draw (1-1 vs Bordeaux). The good part about Rennes is that finally they have some continuity in keeping the same lineup.
Ever since winger Alessandrini returned from injury he’s been an exponential player in Rennes’ strategy. His cooperation with attacking midfielder Kadir makes Rennes tick upfront. Sadly for Rennes, both Alessandrini and Kadir are injured and will miss this game.
This means dissatisfied midfielder Feret (refused to renew contract) will start and Rennes will rely only on his long distance shots, that end up outside the stadium recently.
Monaco will push in the attempt to build on last week’s win. They will hold possession but will have no solutions with Falcao and Carrasco out. Fullbacks will advance a lot and maybe eventually they could find the net, but it will stop there. Rennes without Alessandrini and Kadir won’t be able to exploit the empty spaces on the flanks.
At 2.00 the price on under 2.5 goals is just too high given the circumstances.