Monaco – Lyon Preview - Ligue 1 Betting Tips

Monaco – Lyon Preview

2 in 3 bettors were on Monaco to win last week. Imagine the worldwide disappointment and the profit some made…

They were 2-0 up early in the game vs Sochaux. Young Carrasco signed both their goals but after that (by some unexplainable miracle) all the balls he touched went straight to the opponents. Falcao also acted very weird and never really tried to attack the goal when he had all the time in the world. Instead he was always turning his back on the goal and was constantly looking for teammates in infinite worse positions than him.

I had a look on some in depth stats and it is true that Sochaux completed more passes in that game, but the difference is just huge. Sochaux were just passing the ball around between defenders (Faussurier to Peybernes and the other way around) while Monaco were pushing constantly and perpendicularly (most passes were from defensive midfielder Toulalan to attacking midfielder Moutinho). Monaco were constantly present in Sochaux’s half but everything went to hell when the ball reached Carrasco, Falcao and Rodriguez, the ones responsible of last week’s shameful result.

Carrasco was voted man of the match because of his 2 goals but actually he was only average. Too egoistic too pass the ball (only 63% pass completion rate when Monaco’s average was 78%) and always trying to take actions on his own and score.

Monaco also missed central defender Abidal in that game due to a last minute injury. Abidal is still doubtful but according to latest reports he should return.

Monaco are under heavy fire due to last week’s performance and I expect a drastic change in attitude and approach. I see them more fired up than ever before (this season).

Lyon’s coach Garde did what every self centered football coach who cares only about receiving the paycheck at the end of the week would do: getting in damage control mode.

He had two options:
1. use the best team possible against Rijeka, in order to avoid a series of consecutive shameful results (especially with the game against Monaco coming up)
2. preserve strength and energy and at least try to keep your head up against Monaco.

Of course Grade picked the first option and tried to wash away the shame accumulated so far with a win over a modest central European club. His intentions were very visible, as before this bad period he used to replace a couple of players in Europa League. Now he used all the big and rusty guns…

Even so, Lyon were a let down against Rijeka. They could only be dangerous through a couple of crosses and Grenier’s long range attempts. Rijeka could have leveled the game if they didn’t had so much respect for the name “Lyon”.

Lacazette will be suspended for this game. In a normal team his absence wouldn’t mean much, but for Lyon it means striker Gomis will play. If you go to your local pensioner club and put together a defense of octogenarians Gomis won’t be able to score against them…

Defenders Bedimo, Kone and Umtiti are still injured while midfielders Gourcuff and Danic are doubtful. To be honest they could all be fit, it doesn’t really matter.

Lyon themselves don’t expect anything else but a trashing here, so why wouldn’t we? Monaco -1 at the odds of 1.80 is simply a must bet.

UPDATE: Bedimo and Danic are in the squad for Lyon. But this won’t change anything

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