Lyon’s last game against Rennes started slowly and never really picked up rythm (Rennes won 2-0). Lyon conceded early in the game after a marking error at a set piece, a red card followed for Lyon and history was written.
I don’t believe the defeat last round is any relevant and I still rate Lyon as one of the most in-form clubs in Ligue1. But the thing is they will surely want to make amends for last week, and will probably be more fired up than usual. In these conditions Lyon may push harder, may lack patience and may need to bring more players to the offensive phase, especially with creative midfielder Grenier being suspended.
Even if Gourcuff will most probably return after injury it won’t be enough to supplement Grenier’s absence. Replacement Malbranque or Mvuemba will have to advance a lot, and will drag along the other central midfielders (Fofana and Gonalons), leaving considerable open spaces.
Central defender Umtiti will miss due to suspension, making it even harder for the defense.
Everybody following Ligue1 knows already that Troyes have an offensive mentality. They have great potential upfront and even improved it after transferring-in winger Ben Khalfallah from Bordeaux.
In comparison to last round Troyes will welcome back fullback Colin and winger Darbion. Recovering Darbion is excellent news, as he can really make a difference through speed and ball control.
Defensive midfielder Lacour suffered an injury and will miss for Troyes.
I believe this will be a high scoring affair with both teams scoring. Seeing that the odds on over 2.5 goals are lower than Troyes to score, and I would like to cheer only for 1 team (so I avoid taking both teams to score), Troyes to score at 1.80 is the best option. Medium confidence.