For me personally Lyon was a heavy disappointment last week. I expected more from them against a Lille side that I perceive to be very slow.
But Lyon were under heavy domination for most of the game and the 0-0 final result was unfair.
Lyon have a problem with injuries as Lopes, Gourcuff, Ghezzal, Danic, Bisevac, Dabo , Fofana and Vercourtre are all out. To add to that is the situation of midfielder Grenier who is very doubtful and most probably won’t make it.
Lyon already creates very few chances per game, and that is mainly due to Grenier’s vision who tries to exploit the speed of wingers. With him out the creativity level will be severely diminished. Most probably Malbranque will take his place and be responsible for building up the play.
No doubt we will see a couple of through balls attempts coming from Malbranque, but if Guimaraes will be as compact as they were against Porto and Benfica, there will be no possible way for Malbranque to make a difference.
At the back Lyon seem stronger than at the beginning of the season, but that is only because they use few players in the offensive phase and the rest of the players always stand their ground in the own field.
Upfront Gomis is out of form like always in the past 2 ,3 years… He only stands out when making funny faces whenever he can’t reach the ball (it happens a lot lately…)
Judging by the results and the highlights I’ve seen, Guimaraes proved to be a mature and dedicated team.
They’ve created many problems for Portuguese giants Benfica and Porto in the past two weeks, and even if they eventually lost both games, they’ve proved to be a hard nut to crack.
There are almost no spaces left to be exploited by opponents, that is why Lyon, especially given their play building problems, will find it impossible to score and frustrating to play against Guimaraes.
There are two possible bets for this game, both of them safe and valuable. The first one is under 2.5 goals at the odds of 1.91. Those who dislike betting on this market and were traumatized by late goals that once ruined under bets can always take Guimaraes +1 at 1.86 which also is a safe bet.
If you want to keep stakes at a minimum and only bet for fun take 0-0 correct score at the price of 9.00