It seems that Guingamp reduced rythm recently and they aren’t as incisive as about a month ago. Forward Briand is not that inspired anymore and many of his attempts end up miles away, just like most of his passes.
For some reason coach Gourvennec changed formation and switched from the classic 4-4-2 to 4-2-3-1 with Briand the lone striker. This is actually the reason why Briand lost form, as until now he was mostly a provider (acted like a play-maker) but now he is once again all alone in opponents’ penalty box.
Guingamp’s midweek Cup game was stopped after 50 minutes due to a heavily waterlogged pitch (2-2 after 50 minutes away Gazelec Ajaccio). Forward Briand was left outside the squad for that game (time to rest)
It remains to be seen if coach Gourvennec will switch back to the classic 4-4-2 formula. But regardless the system Guingamp are still highly organized in midfield and defense, and only if they rush upfront opponents have spaces to make maneuvers.
Only a red card prevented Lorient from getting all points last week against Rennes (finished 1-1). With about 25 minutes to go, when Lorient where the ones controlling the game, defender Kone got a second yellow and the fate of the game was sealed.
The good news is that winger Guerreiro finally found some form and scored his first goal this season. Guerreiro was maybe the only out-of-form player at Lorient and that was a major setback, especially since he is one of the most gifted wingers in Ligue1.
Lorient made a solid game in the Cup against Montpellier (Lorient won 3-2) even if they played without key forwards Moukandjo (rested) and Waris (injured). Now both of them should return to the lineup, as according to latest reports it seems that Waris resumed collective training
Guingamp have been pretty convincing so far in home games but the recent changes made them lose rythm. Odds are way too unbalanced considering how Lorient have been performing lately. The value is definitely on guests who have enough resources to get a positive result. Lorient +0.50 at 1.89
UPDATE: Guingamp will miss midfielders Coco (suspended) and Giresse (injured). Lorient’s forward Waris is back in the squad but they will again miss defender Lautoa.
Guingamp: Lössl, Samassa – Sorbon, Angoua, Jacobsen, Hery, Dos Santos, Lévêque – Mo.Diallo, De Pauw, Cardy, Benezet, Mathis, Sankharé, Blas – Privat, Salibur, Briand, Bègue
Lorient: Lecomte, Chaigneau – Gassama, L.Koné, Z.Touré, Guerreiro, Le Goff – Philippoteaux, Jouffre, Ndong, Abdullah, Bellugou, Barthelmé, Mesloub – Moukandjo, Waris, Jeannot, Gakpa