Last round Guingamp were outplayed and outsmarted by opponents Evian (lost 2-0). Guingamp looked exhausted (because of their Europa League adventure) and most likely things will worsen seeing this will be the third game in only a week…
In both competitions Guingamp use the same players since the squad is small and rotation is a luxury.
Upfront players move in slow motion and most of the passes end up straight at opponents. In defense there are huge spaces between players and mistakes occur even at simple clearances.
Important midfielder Marveaux will be out for a long time and Guingamp will have to learn to play without him.
Caen was the better side last round against Montpellier but unfortunately they couldn’t get more than a draw (finished 1-1). From defenders to forwards, at Caen all players seem to be in good form.
Caen feel more comfortable away from home, both because stats say so (they won more points when being visitors) but also because the reality in the field. They feel more comfortable when applying counter tactics, as the speed, ball control skills and experience of offensive players allow them to surprise opponents and reach the penalty box from only two or three passes.
Guests will miss central defender Da Silva through suspension, but both defenders Musavu King and Appiah could return after sitting out a couple of rounds.
Guingamp are getting more tired and desperate with each round. The chances for them to get back on the right track in 2014 are close to zero. They need time to fully recover and adapt to a new strategy without Marveaux. This can happen in 2015, after the winter break. Caen DNB at 1.99
UPDATE: Guingamp will also miss forward Schwartz but will welcome back fullback Leveque. Caen’s defenders Appiah and Musavu-King haven’t recovered yet. Same bet
Guingamp: Lössl, Guichard – Sorbon, Sankoh, Kerbrat, Jacobsen, Angoua, Lévêque, Baca – Giresse, Beauvue, S.Yatabaré, Sankharé, Mathis, L.Dos Santos, Mou.Diallo, Pied – Mandanne, Douniama
Caen: Vercoutre, Perquis – Calvé, Imorou, Pierre, Al.Yahia, Raineau, Adéoti, Seube – Saez, N.Kanté, Féret, Lemar, Nangis – Raspentino, Duhamel, Koita, Privat