French Cup – part 2 - Ligue 1 Betting Tips

French Cup – part 2

Once again no individual write-ups only a few essential info and a betting tip for each game.

1. Guingamp – Evian

These teams played against each-other 2 weeks ago when Guingamp managed a great comeback in second half (won 2-1 after being 0-1 down). In comparison to that game, now Guingamp are more in-form and confident. They do however have a major weakness and that is defending against actions initiated on the flanks and having as an end result through passes inside the box.

It will be even harder for them to keep a clean sheet since central defender Kerbrat won’t play, just like central midfielder Atik (no worry in his case).

Even if Evian are still without topscorer Berigaud, forward Sougou  scored the winner last round away at Valenciennes and seems to be in-form. There is also Ruben (ex Villareal a long time ago) on the bench eagerly waiting to prove his skills.

Evian prefer creating actions on the wings. We can see that from their line-up as they do not have a real attacking midfielder but only wingers. Veteran Barbosa could be the only one considered a somewhat central attacking mid, but he is a versatile players and even he is constantly pushing the game on the side.

Evian could take advantage of Guingamp’s weakness on the flanks and could score. But this doesn’t mean hosts will remain empty handed. Evian’s defense is fragile and Guingamp with striker Yatabare fully fit can always net at least once.

Over 2.5 goals at the odds of 2.00 looks great.

2.  Sochaux – Montpellier

Sochaux were completely outplayed last round away at Lorient. Watching them play we clearly understood their 2-2 draw against Monaco with new coach Renard in charge was only a lucky result, without any basis, foundation whatsoever.

Forward Mayuka is still out, but otherwise Sochaux got every important players available. They even welcome back defender Carlao and forward Butin.

Carlao is a disaster lately and drags the entire defense down. Not that they would have been solid without him…

Montpellier on the other side were also completely dominated at Bordeaux last week, but they have a solid excuse: playing in 10 for about 1 hour. A winger was quickly taken out of play to compensate the red card.

This meant the reduction in the number of balls received by striker Montano. Montpellier could not exploit Montano’s potential.

Now things will be different,  especially with Montano being up against a shaky defense. At the back Montpellier look good and I really doubt a team like Sochaux who creates little to no chances will have the power of scoring.

The odds of 1.80 for Montpellier DNB are simply a must bet.

3. Reims – Monaco

Scoring 3 away at Marseille is quite an achievement, especially teams like Arsenal and Napoli couldn’t net 3 times versus Marseille.

Reims are flying high at the moment and it seems the times when they were happy with just 1 point are long gone. They have a solid and disciplined squad and are able of getting great results. Especially the central midfield is really impressive as it successfully creates an impenetrable wall.

It doesn’t really matter where opponents create their actions, Reim’s central midfield rejects absolutely anything.

Like against Marseille, the biggest problem for Reims will be the long range shots.

Monaco are running on low fuel as of late.  They are happy with giving initiative, the defense makes blunder after blunder and upfront wingers seems to have the ball glued to their boots.

There must be a military intervention for Monaco’s wingers to pass the damn ball…

Monaco will be without Falcao, keeper Subasic, fullback Kurzawa and attacking midfeilder Moutinho.

The biggest danger will come from midfielder Obbadi and his powerful and precise long shots, otherwise Monaco won’t be able to pose any threats. I do not think that at the moment they have what it takes to penetrate inside Reims’ box.

Reims +0.5 at the price of 1.89 for me.

To sum it up:

1. Guingamp – Evian, over 2.5 goals

2.  Sochaux – Montpellier, Montpellier DNB

3. Reims – Monaco, Reims +0.5

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