According to stats, since these teams last met Benfica’s defense became more fragile.
Benfica’s coach Jesus stated the club’s priority is the internal competition (especially with Porto’s poor form this season), but nobody can deny a qualification in the later stages of Champions League would be a dream come true for the Portuguese side.
And they have a significant chance to achieve their goal since PSG are already qualified and left back home a couple of important players.
Both central defenders Alex and Thiago Silva won’t play, same as fullback Van der Wiel, defensive midfielder Verratti and striker Ibrahimovic.
PSG’s defense will most probably look this way:
Jallet and Digne advance a lot counting on Verratti to cover for them. Now he is out and neither of the other central midfielders (Motta, Matuidi or Rabiot) have the same intuition, dedication and precision when it comes to defending (especially Motta who seems kind of disconnected lately).
By now most of you are aware of the blunders young Marquinhos makes every time he plays. Making decisive errors is a common thing in his case.
I am confident Benfica can score at least once against this defense, even if striker Cardozo is a doubt at the moment of writing. You don’t need world class talent to score against a defense in two (only Camara and Marquinhos will defend as fullbacks will be gone upfront in search of fame and glory), furthermore one of the defenders will actually help the other side (Marquinhos).
Cavani should take Ibrahimovic’s role upfront with Lucas and Lavezzi providing balls from the wings. There are of course alternative with Menez or young Ongenda on the bench. Either way, even if Benfica will concentrate only on defending (which it won’t be the case of course) most probably it won’t work out for them, seeing they have a fragile defense.
This game should be quite entertaining with Benfica making efforts for qualifying and PSG trying to honor their reputation.
At 1.90 the price on over 2.5 goals is just crazy. This bet may easily pay even before half time.